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Will Turkey Invoke Article Five?

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, according to the New York Times, says Turkey may invoke Article Five of the NATO treaty against Syria since Bashar al-Assad fired artillery shells over the border last week.

Unless Assad keeps at it, that would be a big stretch. Most likely the Turks are just dialing up the pressure and hoping Assad will retire to Moscow. Who knows? It might even work. The best way to get him out of there is to convince him he’ll die if he stays. If he thinks outside intervention is forever off the table, he’s not going anywhere.