Will Yanukovych Start Cracking Heads?

Many Ukrainians think so, and they may have a point.

Here’s the way their argument goes. Start with the fact that President Viktor Yanukovych is so widely detested as to be bereft of the least shred of legitimacy. Continue with the fact that his regime is screamingly incompetent, corrupt, and hostile to reform. Add an internal economic crisis that is compounded by a global economic crisis. And stir in mounting popular discontent that will only get more brazen as the threefold crisis—of leader, regime, and economy—deepens.

What’s left for the regime? What is its only remaining power resource?

The answer is: force and violence.

All governments, after all, maintain popular support, elicit compliance, and thereby stay in power with some combination of five resources.

If leaders are charismatic, people will support them because they believe in their wisdom. Yanukovych, needless to say, does not fit the bill.

If regimes have ideological appeal, people will support them because they believe in their visions for the future. The Yanukovych regime, as all Ukrainians know, has only one vision: plunder.

What Should Europe Do about Ukraine?

As the December 19th summit between the European Union and Ukraine approaches, the petulant President Viktor Yanukovych seems determined to thumb his schoolboyish nose at EU concerns about rule of law in general and the illegal imprisonment of Yulia Tymoshenko in particular.

In turn, the EU isn’t quite sure what to do. Should it initial the association agreement with Ukraine and thereby seemingly signal its indifference to Yanukovych’s tin-pot authoritarianism? Should it cancel the summit? (If so, to what end?) Should it protest? (If so, how?)

Here’s a simple rule of thumb for the EU: distinguish between Ukraine and its people on the one hand and the Regionnaire regime on the other and formulate policy accordingly. 

Yanukovych: The Man Who Would Be King

Viktor Yanukovych owes African Americans an apology.

Not for permitting his Regionnaire pals to devastate Ukraine. For that he should apologize to his own people, who elected him to improve the country and not destroy it.

No, Yanukovych owes African Americans an apology for comparing himself to Martin Luther King Jr. He does that in the concluding chapter of his recently published English-language book, Opportunity Ukraine. The chapter, titled “I Have a Dream,” consists of numerous paragraphs that begin with those very words to express the Ukrainian president’s vision of Ukraine.

The choice is not accidental. As Yanukovych writes on page 288:

“I Have a Dream” was the name of a famous speech by Martin Luther King, the great American advocate of civil rights and a Nobel Peace Prize winner. I too have a dream: a strong and prosperous Ukraine. And I am going to talk about this dream of mine below. I will tell you about the dream that will, without a hint of doubt, certainly come true.

In other words, Yanukovych thinks of himself as the Ukrainian Martin Luther King.

A KGB Assassin Speaks

One of the KGB’s master assassins reared his head in Kyiv this summer.

Bohdan Stashynsky killed two Ukrainian émigré nationalists in Munich in the late 1950s and then, after defecting to West Berlin in 1961 and being tried in Karlsruhe in 1962, he received an eight-year prison sentence, was released after four, and then proceeded to fall off the face of the earth. Now, at 80, the ex-assassin has apparently decided to set the record straight by telling his side of the story to journalist Natalya Prykhodko. As Prykhodko tells it, she’d been contacted by a retired officer of the Ukrainian Security Service who said Stashynsky “feared dying and taking some secrets to his grave. And why you? Because I vouched for you.”

Finding Ukrainian President Yanukovych’s Book

I have some really swell news.

I finally managed to get my hands on Viktor Yanukovych’s bestselling book, Opportunity Ukraine. No one I know in Ukraine has ever laid his or her eyes on the volume, but I have it—my very own copy.

I’ll discuss the actual volume in subsequent blogs, but for the time being let me tell you how I found it.

It wasn’t easy. I scoured the bookstores of Kyiv and Lviv a few weeks ago, but to no avail. Silly me: why would an English-language book by its president be sold in Ukraine?

But surely it’d be available in Vienna, right? I mean, the publisher, Mandelbaum Verlag, is based in Vienna, and surely they’d have an interest in selling it there? Right?

Wrong.

I scoured the bookstores of Vienna, but with no luck. The city’s answer to Barnes & Noble, Morawa, didn’t even have the book in its computer system—which was a bad sign, of course, and led me to think I should just go straight to the source.

Are the Regionnaires Schoolchildren?

Funny you should ask, as a few weeks ago, in the immediate aftermath of the stupid Tymoshenko verdict and the subsequent cancellation of Viktor Yanukovych’s trip to Brussels, a raft of Regionnaires bristled at Europe’s supposed treatment of Ukrainians as “schoolchildren.”

“We’re equals,” the Regionnaires insisted, “and deserve to be treated as such.”
Disregard the underhanded way in which the Regionnaires claimed to stand for all Ukrainians. After all, whatever the Europeans did or said about Tymoshenko, they directed their comments at the Regionnaire government misruling Ukraine—and not at Ukrainians.

The more interesting question is: Are the Regionnaires schoolchildren? To my mind, that’s putting an all-too-flattering spin on a bunch of incompetent crooks who never made it through kindergarten. Still, the question is valid and deserves a response.
Underlying the Regionnaires’ rejection of the term is their view that they have nothing to learn from Europe. If they’re not schoolchildren, then Europe is no teacher, and if Europe is no teacher, then it has nothing to teach the Regionnaires. And that’s that.

A Russian Threat to Ukraine?

Who’s right about the threat Russia poses to its neighbors—the distinguished American historian Richard Pipes or the distinguished Russian analyst Dmitri Trenin?

According to Pipes, the Russians “do pose a threat to their ex-republics. They have no problem with Central Asia, because those [states] are rather docile. But they can’t reconcile themselves to the loss of the three Baltic Republics [Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania] and Ukraine and Georgia. I feel fairly confident that if Georgia or the Ukraine were to join NATO, as they would like to, the Russians would invade and destroy their independence.”

According to Trenin, “Russia’s remarkable disinterest in its former empire has been paralleled by the other former Soviet republics distancing themselves from the former imperial center. Several have proclaimed a European vision or vocation. Others reaffirmed Muslim roots and focused on their neighborhoods. A couple have gone into isolation.”

The Serial Stupidity of Sentencing Tymoshenko

The obtuseness of the Yanukovych regime appears to know no bounds. After a puppet court sentenced former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko to seven years in jail on October 11th, after that verdict provoked howls of protest from everybody—from Washington to Brussels to Moscow—the Yanukovych folks have just lodged new criminal charges against Tymoshenko, this time for her business activities back in the 1990s. In doing so, they have effectively thumbed their noses at Europe.

That leaves one option only on Ukraine’s international front—subservience to Russia and devolution into a third-world colonial hinterland doomed to underdevelopment and poverty. Integration into the Russian-led Customs Union will enable the Regionnaires to retain their wealth and power for a while, but when Vladimir Putin becomes president for life, the party will be over. He knows the Regionnaires are clowns and will treat them accordingly. They deserve Siberia. Unfortunately, Ukraine doesn’t deserve being consigned to the Stone Age. 

Yanukovych Has a Hero

Ukraine has a new official Hero—Borys Bilash, a poet from Donetsk. Never heard of him? Not to worry. You’re not alone. Neither has anyone else. Except for President Viktor Yanukovych, that is. You see, Bilash is apparently his favorite poet.

Yanukovych Has a Hero

Ukraine has a new official Hero—Borys Bilash, a poet from Donetsk. Never heard of him? Not to worry. You’re not alone. Neither has anyone else. Except for President Viktor Yanukovych, that is. You see, Bilash is apparently his favorite poet.

Photos from the Tymoshenko Trial: Yanukovych's Democracy in Action

Scenes from earlier today in Kyiv, after former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko received a seven-year prison sentence and other punishments in a judgment Western governments have denounced as an act of political retribution. The first photograph shows Tymoshenko supporters, the second shows opponents, and the rest show special police units that guarded the area around the court.

The Underdevelopment of the Donbas

A just-released study by the International Center for Future Research has some bad news for southeastern Ukraine. According to the center’s calculations, the quality of life is lowest in a coherent swath of territory running from south to east. Of Ukraine’s 27 provinces, Zaporizhzhya is 22nd, Mykolaiv is 23rd, Kherson is 24th, Luhansk is 25th, Donetsk is 26th, and Dnipropetrovsk is dead last. The two outliers are Kharkiv in the northeast, which is 2nd, and Chernihiv in the north, which is 21st.

As you’d expect, Kyiv City is at the top, while the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, with its tourism, comes in 3rd. Visitors to western Ukraine won’t be surprised to learn that it does quite well in the rankings: Ternopil Province is 4th, Lviv is 5th, Chernivtsi is 6th, Ivano-Frankivsk is 8th, Volyn is 10th, Zakarpattya is 11th, and Rivne is 13th.

Yanukovych Becomes Yushchenko?

Who wouldda thunk it?

Viktor Yanukovych’s transformation into Viktor Yushchenko is well under way.

Since the Orange Revolution of 2004, the two men have been viewed as, and indeed have been, antipodes with mutually exclusive visions of Ukraine. Yushchenko was pro-Ukrainian, pro-Western, and pro-democratic, while Yanukovych was anti-Ukrainian, pro-Russian, and anti-democratic. Although this “binary opposition,” like all binary oppositions, overstated the differences between the two, it was not inaccurate. Yushchenko was the good guy; Yanukovych was the bad guy. And the world made sense.

Until recently, when Yanukovych started making trouble.

The Regionnaires’ Image Problem

Take a close look at the three photos just below. They were taken in the week of September 5th by a friend in Kyiv, across the street from the spot where the Yulia Tymoshenko trial is taking place. The top photograph shows the Regionnaire supporters of the trial; the other two show Tymoshenko’s supporters.

Take note of the obvious things, such as the slogans (at least those that I can decipher). Here are some of the ones displayed by the Regionnaires: “I Don’t Believe [You],” “Tymoshenko—to Be Held Responsible,” “She Stole. She Is Not Ukraine,” “Enough.”

Regionnaire Plagiarism Rears Its Head

Who hasn’t heard by now of the charges of plagiarism made against President Viktor Yanukovych’s recently published English-language book, Opportunity Ukraine? The evidence is persuasive. Many sections were clearly lifted without attribution from other texts. And that’s plagiarism, period.

The president’s many critics have seized on the texts as evidence—if any were still necessary—of the regime’s dishonesty. The president’s official defenders dismiss the charges as absurd. They have to, of course. What else can they say in the face of incontrovertible proof? In the final analysis, however, both sides aren’t quite getting the real point.

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