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January/February 2015

As the first anniversary of Russia’s annexation of Crimea and invasion of eastern Ukraine comes into view, Vladimir Putin’s mafia regime continues to be the five-hundred-pound bear sitting in the global living room. What will the Kremlin’s strongman do next? Is he acting out of strength or weakness or some pathological combination of both? Will the combination of falling energy prices, the flailing ruble, and the slowly accreting costs of sanctions “maximize the contradictions” (as the Russian leader’s onetime bosses in the Politburo used to say) and allow the West to play a waiting game? Or must the Kremlin’s aggression be confronted more forcefully to whip the bear back into his den? ... Read More

A Dispatch from Iraqi Kurdistan

The people of Erbil, in Iraqi Kurdistan, find themselves precariously perched at the crossroads of history once again, wary of local enemies and foreign friends alike.

The Battle for Central Europe

Those who see Vladimir Putin’s expansionism as a regional problem miss the point: the Kremlin’s strategic goal is to degrade transatlantic ties, not just dominate neighboring lands.

A Return to Great Power Conflict?

The centennial of the Great War is a fitting time to remember that wars between great powers are not so easily consigned to the past, especially given the makeup of the world today.

A Future Russia

Change will come to today’s nationalistic and conspiratorial Russia, but when, how, and what it will mean are yet unknown in a country whose leaders frequently boast of their nuclear arsenal.

Tunisia’s Tenuous Progress

In the two years after the Arab Spring, Tunisia’s security situation disintegrated disastrously. Problems persist, but in the field and at the polls Tunisia has made significant progress against jihadists.

The Israeli-Palestinian Hyperconflict

After twenty years of failed attempts, it is time to abandon the belief that a “local” agreement between the Israelis and the Palestinians would pacify the region.

Misreading the War in Ukraine

When Ukraine started grabbing headlines a year ago, more than a few scholars began writing as if they were experts on the country. Trouble is, they were merely self-serving realists.

Energy Remapped

The unprecedented and unpredicted shifts taking place in the world’s energy market will have geopolitical consequences unimaginable a decade ago.